Is the regime in Iran soon to be toast?
- Thread starter Sybertiger
- Start date
mat200
IPCT Contributor
- Jan 17, 2017
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"Make Shame Great Again" - or why are people ok with lies ?
Half a Million People Believed This Iran Hoax
Ryan McBeth
Mar 18, 2026
A viral thread from the account “Died Suddenly” racked up over half a million views claiming the U.S. is about to run out of interceptor missiles, hiding hundreds of casualties, losing aircraft at historic rates, and somehow stumbling into a global war with Iran and China.
There’s just one problem: They're lying.
In this video, I go point by point through their claims and explain what they got wrong—and more importantly, why these kinds of posts are so convincing to people who don’t have a background in military operations.
We’re going to talk about:
How air defense actually works (and why “running out of interceptors” is a meaningless claim)
Why hiding U.S. casualties at scale is basically impossible
The reality of aircraft losses in both war and peacetime
Why Iran “saving missiles” would be a terrible strategy
And why China isn’t invading Taiwan in July
This isn’t just about one bad thread.
It’s about how disinformation spreads, and how easy it is to sound credible if your audience doesn’t know the fundamentals.
If you’ve ever read something online and thought “that sounds serious,” this is the video that shows you how to take it apart.
Half a Million People Believed This Iran Hoax
Ryan McBeth
Mar 18, 2026
A viral thread from the account “Died Suddenly” racked up over half a million views claiming the U.S. is about to run out of interceptor missiles, hiding hundreds of casualties, losing aircraft at historic rates, and somehow stumbling into a global war with Iran and China.
There’s just one problem: They're lying.
In this video, I go point by point through their claims and explain what they got wrong—and more importantly, why these kinds of posts are so convincing to people who don’t have a background in military operations.
We’re going to talk about:
How air defense actually works (and why “running out of interceptors” is a meaningless claim)
Why hiding U.S. casualties at scale is basically impossible
The reality of aircraft losses in both war and peacetime
Why Iran “saving missiles” would be a terrible strategy
And why China isn’t invading Taiwan in July
This isn’t just about one bad thread.
It’s about how disinformation spreads, and how easy it is to sound credible if your audience doesn’t know the fundamentals.
If you’ve ever read something online and thought “that sounds serious,” this is the video that shows you how to take it apart.
mat200
IPCT Contributor
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Likewise, perhaps the Europeans and USA Asian allies wanted something from Trump to help fix the strait of Hormuz issue, and Trump was not willing to pay that price, .. and yet he states the Allies of the USA does not want to help the USA.
Trump is gaslighting us on many issues.
We should not fully trust what he tells us.
mat200
IPCT Contributor
- Jan 17, 2017
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UAE, Qatar, Bahrain, Oman, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Iraq ... I expect all the oil producing states to wish this problem to go away, and if they can condemn attacks on Iranian oil / nat gas and that leads to reduced attacks on them, then I do expect them to come out and state that.
I think most are discovering that its more helpful to watch what he does vs what he says.
Oh no, we blew our wad too early. 60% enriched uranium doesn't go ka-pow as good as 90+% enriched uranium. What's a few city blocks and radiation amongst friends. It's not like they can take out an entire city with that crappy 60% stuff in one bomb.
And, it's very clear the Ayatollah learned his lesson from last April bombing of the AMAD nuclear site. New construction at that site this past September was just the ground breaking for Ayatollah World - a Disneyish theme park.
This is so fucking dumb. It's not the signature-- it's the trillion-plus dollars we gave them and the fact that they had free reign to develop nuclear weapons.
Parley
Known around here
BREAKING: Trump Cracks the Whip – NATO SecGen Mark Rutte Admits Allies RUSHING to Secure Strait of Hormuz After Presidential Pressure (Video)
Right Journalism ^ | 3/18/2026 | Mark Van Der Veen
You know that satisfying moment when President Trump lays down the law, tells Europe to stop free-riding, and suddenly the “allies” start scrambling like their lives depend on it? That’s exactly what just happened with the Strait of Hormuz.
After Trump publicly called out NATO countries for refusing to send ships to help secure the critical waterway — and straight-up threatened to pull the U.S. back entirely and let Europe handle it themselves — NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte folded fast. In a new statement, Rutte admitted allies are now rushing to find a way forward:
(Excerpt) Read more at rightjournalism.com ...
Right Journalism ^ | 3/18/2026 | Mark Van Der Veen
You know that satisfying moment when President Trump lays down the law, tells Europe to stop free-riding, and suddenly the “allies” start scrambling like their lives depend on it? That’s exactly what just happened with the Strait of Hormuz.
After Trump publicly called out NATO countries for refusing to send ships to help secure the critical waterway — and straight-up threatened to pull the U.S. back entirely and let Europe handle it themselves — NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte folded fast. In a new statement, Rutte admitted allies are now rushing to find a way forward:
(Excerpt) Read more at rightjournalism.com ...
I'm not familiar with that satisfying moment.
"Trump Cracks the Whip"... that pretty sensational...
Ouch!
Pentagon seeks more than $200 billion in budget request for Iran war
The Pentagon has asked the White House to approve a more than $200 billion request to Congress to fund the war in Iran, according to a senior administration official, in an enormous new ask that is almost certain to run into resistance from lawmakers opposed to the conflict.
That number would far surpass the costs of the administration’s massive airstrike campaign to date and instead seek to urgently increase production of critical weaponry expended as U.S. and Israeli forces have struck thousands of targets over the past three weeks, according to three other people familiar with the matter, who confirmed that the Defense Department is seeking packages of that size.
Pentagon seeks more than $200 billion in budget request for Iran war
The Pentagon has asked the White House to approve a more than $200 billion request to Congress to fund the war in Iran, according to a senior administration official, in an enormous new ask that is almost certain to run into resistance from lawmakers opposed to the conflict.
That number would far surpass the costs of the administration’s massive airstrike campaign to date and instead seek to urgently increase production of critical weaponry expended as U.S. and Israeli forces have struck thousands of targets over the past three weeks, according to three other people familiar with the matter, who confirmed that the Defense Department is seeking packages of that size.
Damn, all these fucks in gubermint don't know how to keep classified info classified. Former spook here that worked at a 3 letter agency with TS code word clearance....we all knew better back in the day.
Once upon a time in Mexico did you work with Sheldon Sands for the Cleavage Inspection Agency?
Jimmyjames
Pulling my weight
The price of gasoline has now risen to $4.00 per gallon in my AO. Up from $2.70 less than a month ago. This is the highest price I can remember since the 2005- 2006 era…during the peak of the second gulf war. My brother was deployed in Iraq at that time. I remember prices at around $4.50 - $5.00 per gallon( in Michigan). My ‘95 Grand Cherokee was absolutely hogging…. Lucky to get 15 mpg… maybe 12 when in 4wd. Given the massive inflation that has taken place since 2020, I have to admit that I am surprised that fuel prices have not yet skyrocketed. Being the negative Nancy that I am ….I am bracing myself for local prices to far exceed Iraq war levels. I would not be surprised to see $6.00+ prices in the near future.
mat200
IPCT Contributor
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Yes I see it up about $1.30 +/- also ..
and remember thanks to California, 2 USA refineries are down and out .. so that will impact supply also
California is experiencing a significant reduction in refining capacity due to the planned closures of two major oil refineries: Phillips 66’s Los Angeles refinery and Valero’s Benicia refinery.
- Phillips 66 completed the shutdown of its Los Angeles refinery in October 2025, marking the end of crude oil refining operations in the state for the company. The facility produced approximately 139,000 barrels per day (b/d) of crude oil and 85,000 b/d of gasoline.
- Valero plans to close its Benicia refinery by April 2026, removing another 145,000 b/d of refining capacity—roughly 8.6% of California’s gasoline supply.
mat200
IPCT Contributor
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Summary of the summary... what a mess.
To add to the mess... it did not mention the food that has to be trucked in now.
