Is the regime in Iran soon to be toast?

The Secretary of Iran's Supreme National Security Council, Ali Larijani, stated:

"We have received urgent messages from Donald Trump through our intermediaries. The US government is asking to immediately open a negotiation channel to achieve a ceasefire.

Our response is unequivocal: Iran will not accept any negotiations, yield to any pressure, or sign any ceasefire as long as the illegal and criminal entity called Israel exists on the map of our region."




Perhaps DJT gave them what they wished for ..


Shi'a Muslims believe in a detailed eschatological timeline centered on the return of the Twelfth Imam, Muhammad al-Mahdi, also known as the Hidden Imam or Mahdi. According to Twelver Shia doctrine, the Mahdi went into occultation (concealment) in 874 CE and remains alive but hidden, guiding the faithful spiritually. His return is expected to mark the beginning of the end times.

Key events in the Shi'a end-of-times belief include:

The appearance of the Mahdi, who will be aided by Jesus (Isa), who will return to earth to assist in defeating the Masih ad-Dajjal (the false messiah or anti-Christ).
A global battle between the forces of good (led by the Mahdi and Jesus) and evil (led by the Dajjal), culminating in the total submission of the world to Islam.
The establishment of a global Islamic empire of peace, justice, and equity under the Mahdi’s rule, lasting for several years.
Following this, a general resurrection of the dead, followed by the Day of Judgment, where individuals are assessed based on their deeds and sent to paradise or hell.
Shi'a theology differs from Sunni views in that the Mahdi is believed to already be alive and in occultation, rather than a future figure yet to be born. Some interpretations, particularly in Iran, suggest that global chaos, the defeat of enemies like Israel and the U.S., and the spread of Islamic rule are prerequisites for the Mahdi’s return. This belief has influenced political and military actions, including Iran’s foreign policy and nuclear ambitions, according to some analysts.

Shi'a Muslims also emphasize intercession through the Imams, especially Imam Husayn, and believe that rituals like mourning during Muharram and visiting shrines can bring spiritual benefit and intercession. The belief in the Mahdi remains a central and active hope, not just a passive expectation, shaping religious, cultural, and political life in Shia-majority countries like Iran, Iraq, Bahrain, and Azerbaijan.
 
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UPDATE, THE IRAN WAR JUST HIT A NEW LEVEL:

The situation changed dramatically in the last few hours. Read every line.

– Iran fired a ballistic missile at NATO's Incirlik Air Base in Turkey — where 50 U.S. NUCLEAR BOMBS are stored Me: unconfirmed who fired them.

– Sirens went off. Explosions heard in surrounding towns. Video shows the missile flying directly over the base

– The Pentagon admitted to Congress they "significantly underestimated" Iran's willingness to close the Strait of Hormuz

– 20% of the world's oil flows through that strait. They didn't plan for this.

– CBS says a U.S. helicopter fired 2 Hellfire missiles at an Iranian vessel near the USS Abraham Lincoln

– Iran's IRGC says the Lincoln took "severe damage" from missiles and drones. No denial from the Pentagon yet.

– A U.S. KC-135 Stratotanker crashed in western Iraq after a mid-air collision. Photos show tail damage at Ben Gurion Airport. Me; the 2nd KV-135 landed. First is missing

– 50 people injured in northern Israel after combined Hezbollah rockets and Iranian ballistic missiles hit simultaneously

– The IEA just announced the largest emergency oil release in history — 400 million barrels over 4 months

– The U.S. is dumping 172 million barrels from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve. Reserves now at their lowest since the 1980s.

– Israel and the U.S. struck Iranian oil infrastructure for the FIRST TIME. Oil spilled into Tehran streets and caught fire in the sewers.

– Iran struck two civilian vessels off the coast of Iraq with unmanned surface drones

Two Trump cabinet members rushed to buy survival bunkers the moment the war started - Unconfirmed

– India's PM Modi called Iran's president. When nuclear powers start making those calls, the war has gone global.

This is no longer a contained operation. NATO is being dragged in. Oil reserves are being drained at record speed. And nobody planned for how far Iran was willing to go.

 
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This was a very good discussion and worth listening to

Dire Straits: Condoleezza Rice on The War with Iran
Hoover Institution

 
UPDATE, THE IRAN WAR JUST HIT A NEW LEVEL:

The situation changed dramatically in the last few hours. Read every line.

– Iran fired a ballistic missile at NATO's Incirlik Air Base in Turkey — where 50 U.S. NUCLEAR BOMBS are stored Me: unconfirmed who fired them.

– Sirens went off. Explosions heard in surrounding towns. Video shows the missile flying directly over the base

– The Pentagon admitted to Congress they "significantly underestimated" Iran's willingness to close the Strait of Hormuz

– 20% of the world's oil flows through that strait. They didn't plan for this.

– CBS says a U.S. helicopter fired 2 Hellfire missiles at an Iranian vessel near the USS Abraham Lincoln

– Iran's IRGC says the Lincoln took "severe damage" from missiles and drones. No denial from the Pentagon yet.

– A U.S. KC-135 Stratotanker crashed in western Iraq after a mid-air collision. Photos show tail damage at Ben Gurion Airport. Me; the 2nd KV-135 landed. First is missing

– 50 people injured in northern Israel after combined Hezbollah rockets and Iranian ballistic missiles hit simultaneously

– The IEA just announced the largest emergency oil release in history — 400 million barrels over 4 months

– The U.S. is dumping 172 million barrels from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve. Reserves now at their lowest since the 1980s.

– Israel and the U.S. struck Iranian oil infrastructure for the FIRST TIME. Oil spilled into Tehran streets and caught fire in the sewers.

– Iran struck two civilian vessels off the coast of Iraq with unmanned surface drones

Two Trump cabinet members rushed to buy survival bunkers the moment the war started - Unconfirmed

– India's PM Modi called Iran's president. When nuclear powers start making those calls, the war has gone global.

This is no longer a contained operation. NATO is being dragged in. Oil reserves are being drained at record speed. And nobody planned for how far Iran was willing to go.



– The Pentagon admitted to Congress they "significantly underestimated" Iran's willingness to close the Strait of Hormuz
– 20% of the world's oil flows through that strait. They didn't plan for this.


100%, they did run the war game simulations, and now it is super fast with AI

What they are stating publicly is simply part of playing Kabuki Theatre

imho they do not want to admit that someone shared the worst case scenarios and that person was downvoted in the discussions, or the scenario was accepted but considered worth the risk
 
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