Warsh, the next Fed chair, will inflate the debt away.
He is in favor of yield curve control.
- This means pegging US short-term interest rates to an artificially low level
- The Fed commits to buying unlimited amounts above that level to push interest rates down
This would be reminiscent of the WWII period.
Back then, US debt-to-GDP was 125% vs 121% now.
YCC enabled the government to borrow vast amounts of USTs without blowing out interest expenses.
Those costs were pushed onto citizens via inflation.
From 1945-1980, the US gradually brought debt-to-GDP down to 30%, which later enabled Volcker to raise rates to 20% to kill inflation. This seems to be Warsh’s playbook.