World War III

 
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Russia has an upper hand?

How do you see that?

Russia is in trouble.

Had Ukraine kept their nukes they'll still have Crimea
They have a airforce that is able to level buildings that ground troops have to move in.

Their MIC outproduces all of Nato combined.

They have shit ton of SAM systems, so much that they are using them as ground attack, just to deplete Ukraine air defenses or to give away their position.

They produce more drones and have direct access to China for drone parts, China produces 90% of the parts for drones worldwide.

Russia still produces more tanks than what Ukraine has. Newer build tanks come with factory installed cage armor and other bolt on armor and active defenses. Ukraine commander says those new tanks need around 30 to 40 FPV Drones to disable them. Which is still cheaper than a cost of tank but Ukraine is running out of drone operators that they now have female operators, a video of air strike on female drone operators launching and retrieving a drone on front line was shown.

Russia has a higher kill ratio. Budnov himself said Ukraine needs 30k people a month to be conscripted to maintain the current level.

Russia can at any point cripple Ukraine further since they have the advantage in escalation matrix.
 
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They have a airforce that is able to level buildings that ground troops have to move in.

Their MIC outproduces all of Nato combined.

They have shit ton of SAM systems, so much that they are using them as ground attack, just to deplete Ukraine air defenses or to give away their position.

They produce more drones and have direct access to China for drone parts, China produces 90% of the parts for drones worldwide.

Russia still produces more tanks than what Ukraine has. Newer build tanks come with factory installed cage armor and other bolt on armor and active defenses. Ukraine commander says those new tanks need around 30 to 40 FPV Drones to disable them. Which is still cheaper than a cost of tank but Ukraine is running out of drone operators that they now have female operators, a video of air strike on female drone operators launching and retrieving a drone on front line was shown.

Russia has a higher kill ratio. Budnov himself said Ukraine needs 30k people a month to be conscripted to maintain the current level.

Russia can at any point cripple Ukraine further since they have the advantage in escalation matrix.

umm .. have you checked recently?

Russia has a higher kill ratio? - better double check that, the numbers I have seen do not support that claim.


Russia is lined up for a loss, at this current rate, .. it is not looking good for Russia right now

Trump perhaps is attempting to change that, as the USA vs Iran war is not going well for Trump

  • 1) Russia is importing diesel and gasoline due to severe domestic shortages caused by Ukrainian drone strikes that have taken approximately 60% of its refining capacity offline.
  • 2) Russian Military: UK intelligence (GCHQ) and the UK Defense Staff estimate that over 500,000 Russian soldiers have been killed, part of approximately 1.5 million total casualties
  • 3) Oryx OSINT Tracker: As of mid-2026, this open-source project has visually documented approximately 4,394 tanks as destroyed, damaged, abandoned, or captured.
  • 4) Russia has suffered catastrophic naval losses in the Black Sea and Sea of Azov, with the Ukrainian Navy stating that no Russian warships remain in these waters as of mid-2026. The Ukrainian Unmanned Systems Forces reported disabling 300 Russian "shadow fleet" vessels in an 11-week campaign (Operation MoLoChKa) that ended in September 2026, with 134 vessels struck in the Sea of Azov and 166 in the Black Sea.
  • 5) From July 2026 through September 2026, Ukraine conducted a sustained drone campaign targeting Wildberries, Russia’s largest online retailer, striking over 30 facilities across the Russian Federation.
  • 6) Russian refineries hit: Capacity Loss: Ukrainian strikes have disabled ~42.7% of Russia’s designed refining capacity, with fuel production in June 2026 falling 25% year-over-year and output running ~20% below domestic demand.
  • 7) Since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine began in February 2022, at least 19 Russian generals have been killed, according to open-source data and media reports, though only 15 deaths are officially confirmed.
  • 8) Russian aircraft losses in the Ukraine war are estimated between 350 and 361 confirmed fixed-wing aircraft and helicopters by open-source trackers like Oryx
  • 9) Russia has suffered catastrophic naval losses in the Black Sea and Sea of Azov since the 2022 invasion of Ukraine, with estimates indicating that one-third to half of its Black Sea Fleet has been damaged or destroyed.
  • 10) Russian farming: Russian farmers are currently facing a severe crisis that has led to suspended production, halted harvests, and plans to abandon sowing for the 2027 season. The inability to farm effectively stems from a combination of fuel shortages, export blockades, and financial insolvency.
  • 11) As of September 2026, Russia has experienced a net loss of territory in Ukraine over recent months, marking a significant shift from its previous gains. According to data from the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) and Russia Matters, Russian forces suffered a net loss of 12 square miles of Ukrainian territory in the four-week period ending August 18, 2026.
 
 
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