Big Tech cash is disappearing at a RAPID PACE:
Combined free cash flow across Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, and Oracle is projected to FALL more than -70%, to ~$100 billion, by the end of 2026.This figure peaked at ~$250 billion in early 2024, even as trailing net income continues surging toward a record ~$450 billion.
This comes as AI capital expenditure is consuming nearly every dollar, with the combined 2026 CapEx expected to surpass $715 billion.In simple terms, these companies are reporting record profits on paper while simultaneously running out of actual cash, forcing them to issue a projected $175 billion in new debt in 2026 alone, more than 6 times the pre-AI cycle average, according to BofA.
When earnings and cash flow move in opposite directions this aggressively, equity valuations built on earnings alone become extremely fragile.