Is the regime in Iran soon to be toast?
- Thread starter Sybertiger
- Start date
Iranians troll Trump after 47,000 character late night rage post nobody has read…
Nobody believes a word of what he says any more .. his posts are like SNL skits now…
Oceanslider
Known around here
Iran’s Three Red Lines: Retaliation, Compensation, and a New Hormuz Doctrine
21 April 202612:00 PMForeign PolicyMUST READWANA News
WANA (Apr 21) – “We will certainly not let the criminal aggressors go unpunished.” This is part of the message delivered on April 9 by Ayatollah Seyed Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran’s Supreme Leader. In it, three firm positions of the Islamic Republic regarding its adversaries were laid out.
This sentence is not merely an emotional reaction to war; it marks the beginning of a threefold equation that is now shaping everything around it: military response, demand for compensation, and a shift in the strategic dynamics of the Strait of Hormuz—three signals that, as a fragile ceasefire winds down and stalled negotiations remain unresolved, are increasingly defining the trajectory of the crisis.
Tensions between Iran and the United States are once again rising. The two-week ceasefire is nearing its end, yet there is neither a sign of agreement nor even certainty that talks will continue. In this context, the three positions articulated by Iran’s leadership have become the central compass of the unfolding crisis.
1. “We will not let the aggressor go”
The first message is unambiguous: “We will certainly not let the criminal aggressors go unpunished.”This means Iran does not consider the February 28 war—imposed by the United States and Israel—a closed file. Even if the ceasefire holds, from Tehran’s perspective, the conflict is far from over. The statement functions as a warning: the response may be delayed, but it will not be removed from the agenda.
2. “We will demand full compensation”
The second message is about accountability: “We will certainly demand compensation for every single damage… and the blood money of the martyrs.”This is not only about financial restitution. Iran is signaling that war must carry costs—political, legal, and financial. In other words, even if active fighting stops, the issue will continue in courts, negotiations, and international pressure mechanisms.
3. “A new phase for the Strait of Hormuz”
Perhaps the most significant statement is this: “We will certainly bring the management of the Strait of Hormuz into a new phase.”This implies a shift in the rules of the game. The Strait of Hormuz is not merely a shipping route; it is a geopolitical pressure lever. In recent weeks, Iran has demonstrated through intermittent disruptions that it can create global economic costs by affecting this chokepoint. This sentence signals that such actions may only be the beginning.
Why these three positions matter
Their importance lies in their alignment with developments on the ground.In recent days, an attack on an Iranian vessel and the detention of individuals onboard, along with continued maritime pressure, have been interpreted in Tehran as evidence that the ceasefire has effectively been violated. This explains Iran’s reluctance to move forward with the second round of negotiations.
In this same atmosphere, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf stated bluntly: “We do not accept negotiations under the shadow of threats.”
He went even further: “We are prepared to unveil new cards on the battlefield.” A significant remark—suggesting Iran is not merely waiting, but actively preparing.
Behind the delay in negotiations
There is another layer to the story. In Tehran, there is a growing concern that negotiations may be a “trap.”Analysts suggest the United States could potentially use the talks to test Iran’s reactions—or even prepare for a surprise move. As a result, as long as maritime pressure continues, sitting at the negotiation table is seen not as a diplomatic opportunity, but as a security risk.
In summary, if all of this is condensed, Tehran’s message is clear:
- The war is not over.
- Costs must be paid.
- And the Strait of Hormuz is entering a new operational phase.
Three short sentences—but one large implication: Iran does not want to merely participate in negotiations; it wants to reshape the rules of the game itself.
Iran’s Three Red Lines: Retaliation, Compensation, and a New Hormuz Doctrine - WANA
“We will certainly not let the criminal aggressors go unpunished.” This is part of the message delivered on April 9 by...
wanaen.com
mat200
IPCT Contributor
- Jan 17, 2017
- 18,776
- 31,407
mat200
IPCT Contributor
- Jan 17, 2017
- 18,776
- 31,407
The Power Pundit
Xi Jinping has spent the last eight weeks publicly refusing to help Trump reopen the Strait of Hormuz. But all of a sudden, something different happened.
For the first time, he publicly called for the Strait to stay open. But he didn't dial the White House.
Instead, he called Riyadh.
Xi called the Saudi Crown Prince, one of Trump's closest partners in the region, and told him the Strait should be open for normal shipping. The same Xi who told the White House "no" in March.
The same Beijing that let Iran shut the Strait down for eight weeks while the price of everything went up.
What changed is boring and enormous. Over eighty percent of Iran's oil was going to China last year. When Trump's Navy started turning tankers around on April 13, it was not really Iran losing five hundred million dollars a day.
It was China losing the cheapest barrel of oil in Asia, one day at a time.
Xi is three weeks from hosting Trump in Beijing. May 14. He cannot walk into that summit with his biggest oil supplier in chaos, his refineries running dry, and an American blockade setting the price of everything.
So Xi did the thing he never does. He folded, in public, through a middleman who happens to work for Trump.
The mainstream media is running "China warns America over Iran" headlines.
That is not what a warning sounds like...
Xi Jinping has spent the last eight weeks publicly refusing to help Trump reopen the Strait of Hormuz. But all of a sudden, something different happened.
For the first time, he publicly called for the Strait to stay open. But he didn't dial the White House.
Instead, he called Riyadh.
Xi called the Saudi Crown Prince, one of Trump's closest partners in the region, and told him the Strait should be open for normal shipping. The same Xi who told the White House "no" in March.
The same Beijing that let Iran shut the Strait down for eight weeks while the price of everything went up.
What changed is boring and enormous. Over eighty percent of Iran's oil was going to China last year. When Trump's Navy started turning tankers around on April 13, it was not really Iran losing five hundred million dollars a day.
It was China losing the cheapest barrel of oil in Asia, one day at a time.
Xi is three weeks from hosting Trump in Beijing. May 14. He cannot walk into that summit with his biggest oil supplier in chaos, his refineries running dry, and an American blockade setting the price of everything.
So Xi did the thing he never does. He folded, in public, through a middleman who happens to work for Trump.
The mainstream media is running "China warns America over Iran" headlines.
That is not what a warning sounds like...
LOL...
Iran just changed the terms. Completely.
Foreign Minister Araghchi: "Hormuz stays blocked until $11,000,000,000,000 in frozen Iranian assets are released."
This is not about nuclear enrichment anymore. This is not about face-saving anymore.
$11 trillion. That's the new demand. 48 hours to present a proposal.
Or the ceasefire ends.
The negotiation just became impossible.
Markets didnt like that
Iran just changed the terms. Completely.
Foreign Minister Araghchi: "Hormuz stays blocked until $11,000,000,000,000 in frozen Iranian assets are released."
This is not about nuclear enrichment anymore. This is not about face-saving anymore.
$11 trillion. That's the new demand. 48 hours to present a proposal.
Or the ceasefire ends.
The negotiation just became impossible.
Markets didnt like that
Last edited:
mat200
IPCT Contributor
- Jan 17, 2017
- 18,776
- 31,407
Need to bring back the concept of the Q-Ship ..
Put a few of these and Marines on container ships you want to move in and out of the gulf ..
U-Boat Trap: Q-Ships of the Great War
The History Guy: History Deserves to Be Remembered
1.63M subscribers
Put a few of these and Marines on container ships you want to move in and out of the gulf ..
U-Boat Trap: Q-Ships of the Great War
The History Guy: History Deserves to Be Remembered
1.63M subscribers
Israeli Defense Minister Katz just threatened to bomb every power station in Iran and "return it to the Stone Age."This is the rhetoric we're dealing with now
Their oil storage tanks can't fill up fast enough. Can't wait to see them digging giant lakes to store it.