Is the regime in Iran soon to be toast?

bigredfish said:
Today’s joke accomplished one thing.

A few folks with inside scoop made a lot of money shorting oil.

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DANG ! .. man, gonna lose money on this game when some knows which cards are lined up in the deck


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bigredfish said:
Welp that worked well huh?



This is a remarkable shift.

People in every single one of the top US-allied countries now believe it’s better to depend on China than on the US.

The global balance of power is clearly tilting away from the US and toward China.

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Same suckers who decided Russian oil and green energy was the way to go. :rofl: :rofl: :rofl: Keep it up losers!
 
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mat200 said:
iirc someone posted this earlier here or in another thread ..

It is a very good video, worth watching to better understand the situation.



Trump Just Flipped The Entire Game On Iran - Something Much Bigger Is Unfolding
JNS TV and Doron Spielman

Apr 15, 2026 True East
This episode isn’t just another geopolitical update, it’s a masterclass in how power, patience and strategy collide on the global stage.
Doron Spielman (IDF Spokesman (Res.)) explains how Iran weaponizes time and chaos, why oil is far more than just energy (it’s leverage) and how the U.S. may have flipped the entire game by turning Iran’s biggest strength into its greatest vulnerability. Beneath the headlines lies a psychological and economic battle where the real question isn’t about deals, but about endurance and who breaks first. By the end, you’ll understand the hidden rules shaping this conflict and why the outcome could define the next decade of global power.



This video, presented by Doron Spielman, analyzes the high-stakes geopolitical standoff between the United States and Iran, framing it as a test of endurance rather than a traditional negotiation.

Key Takeaways:

  • Iran's Strategy: The Iranian regime relies on "patience as a weapon," aiming to muddy the waters, exhaust its opponents, and outlast them (0:51-1:49). Their main leverage points include energy disruption in the Straits of Hormuz and manipulating the timing of U.S. political cycles (2:11-4:24).
  • The U.S. Counter-Strategy: The U.S. has effectively turned the table on Iran by keeping shipping lanes in the Straits of Hormuz open to international trade while specifically blocking Iranian oil exports (5:29-6:09). This creates a wedge between Iran and its partners, like China, forcing them to either pressure Iran to back down or rely on the U.S. to keep routes open (6:22-7:04).
  • Economic Suffocation: Beyond sanctions, the U.S. is leveraging the reality of oil infrastructure. By preventing oil exports, storage facilities reach capacity, causing production to halt and degrading oil wells, which often cannot be restarted to their previous capacity (7:23-8:32).
  • The Goal: The U.S. and Israel are pursuing a "grand bargain" centered on the complete dismantling of Iran's nuclear program and zero enrichment, rather than a partial deal (10:04-11:32).
  • The Strategic Outlook: The conflict is a battle of will. Spielman argues that the U.S. remains committed to building military and economic pressure simultaneously, ensuring that Iran cannot survive long-term without compromising its nuclear ambitions (9:09-10:03, 13:14-14:06).
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Battle of wills. If enough of the same weak ass Americans who get diarrhea at these types of ongoings don't have to will to change their diaper as needed then we can't win. Same people who always look at what's in it for them personally. You would not want these types in your foxhole.
 
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I’m serious when I say the best thing right now before he does even more damage to the world economy is to give Trump a participation trophy, pat him on the head and tell him “You won! You sure showed them Donald!”

We’re dealing with an adolescent. Accept that and manage him the same way you would a school kid

 
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And for the 13th time, we’ll eventually “win” the military war. And I hope no more US troops have to die for little Donny’s dementia tantrum.

But it’s not over, and Iran remains a force in limiting oil through the Straight.

Meanwhile, those who laughed 6 weeks ago when I said it wasn’t going to go like they thought, are still saying, “But, but, but…”

 
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Someone please give Lil Donny a prize and tell him Tucker Carlson and Candace have invaded California….. and they’re just weeks away from having a nuclear weapon
 
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The Straight of Hormuz was open before the war. If blocking the Straight of Hormuz, disruption to the gulf states, displacing millions of people, choking global supply chains is “winning”, god only knows what losing looks like. And btw - look at what has happened to fertiliser prices.
 
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This is merely setting the naive up for his next move to go into Iran with ground troops. (And make a killing in the oil futures market)

I believe Trump is probably saying all this garbage about agreements with Iran so that he can later claim, "Iran didn't keep its promises" - promises Iran never made

It’s become obvious he lies when his lips move

 
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Damn, did they paddle that thing back?

 
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