Is the regime in Iran soon to be toast?

 
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Welp, who do believe? I tend to believe the Kurds are on move but the Kurd leader thinks he can keep it secret.

 
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Oceanslider said:
This post jumps from a video of explosions to some very definitive political conclusions that aren’t actually supported by the evidence shown.

First, the video itself doesn’t establish what the target was, when it was filmed, or even whether it is from Tehran during the current conflict. Videos of explosions circulate constantly during wars and often get reposted without context, sometimes from entirely different places or from older conflicts.

Second, the claim that 2000-lb bombs are being “dumped on densely populated neighborhoods in Tehran” is a very specific allegation. If that were actually happening at scale in a city of roughly 9 million people, there would be widespread independent confirmation from multiple international outlets, satellite imagery, casualty reporting, and statements from governments or monitoring organizations. A short clip of smoke over buildings doesn’t tell us any of that.

There’s also a big difference between a strike occurring in or near a large city and a strike that is “indiscriminately killing civilians.” Modern conflicts unfortunately often involve strikes on military or government targets located inside urban areas. Whether something is indiscriminate or unlawful requires much more information about the target, the weapon used, and the intent behind the strike.

The tweet also frames the situation as if the objective is “mass death,” which is a political claim rather than a verified fact. In wars, different sides make very strong accusations about each other’s motives, but those claims should be treated cautiously unless there is clear evidence.
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Yes, there are a lot of bullshit posts on X that are essentially propaganda that are getting reposted.
 
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So official Iranians sources are saying that Israel/USA bombings have resulted in 6,000 deaths so far. Possible that Iranian government had murdered 30,000 Iranian protesters by end of February.

"As of February 2026, reports indicate a high death toll from ongoing protests in Iran. The Human Rights Activists News Agency (HRANA) has verified over 7,000 protester deaths, including 236 minors, while other sources, including reports citing health ministry officials, suggest the toll could exceed 30,000."
 
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