Is the regime in Iran soon to be toast?
- Thread starter Sybertiger
- Start date
Don’t miss the significance of this: the administration is announcing the end of the war in effect without having achieved regime change, ending Iran’s nuclear program or eliminating its missile program. And its focus is now on solving a problem which didn’t exist prior to the war: a closed or nearly-closed Strait of Hormuz.
The president could of course order new military strikes but the current state of play has not met his sometimes outsized expectations.
The president could of course order new military strikes but the current state of play has not met his sometimes outsized expectations.
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Hope he's wrong
Prof. Steve Hanke, a leading economist who accurately predicted the first oil price surge is back with a dire update. With the Strait of Hormuz now blocked for weeks, global inventories are burning at alarming rates while Iran endures far more pain than the West can stomach. His analysis shows the blockade Trump imposed is ironically handing Tehran massive leverage – and the worst is yet to come.
THE BOTTOM LINE The professor has advised Gulf economies for decades and sees the numbers with crystal clarity. Trump entered this conflict expecting quick dominance. Instead every passing day tightens the noose on the global economy while Iran simply waits it out. This is the sound of a catastrophic miscalculation unfolding in real time.
Prof. Steve Hanke, a leading economist who accurately predicted the first oil price surge is back with a dire update. With the Strait of Hormuz now blocked for weeks, global inventories are burning at alarming rates while Iran endures far more pain than the West can stomach. His analysis shows the blockade Trump imposed is ironically handing Tehran massive leverage – and the worst is yet to come.
THE BOTTOM LINE The professor has advised Gulf economies for decades and sees the numbers with crystal clarity. Trump entered this conflict expecting quick dominance. Instead every passing day tightens the noose on the global economy while Iran simply waits it out. This is the sound of a catastrophic miscalculation unfolding in real time.
America’s Suez Moment: How Losing Hormuz Could End US Global Dominance
America’s Suez Moment: How Losing Hormuz Could End US Global Dominance
The Iran war will make it clear to the world that the emperor has no clothes.
internationalman.com
S&P Global Energy published research on Tuesday May 5 2026 stating that even after the Strait of Hormuz reopens, it will take seven months minimum to fully restore upstream production, with the energy crisis potentially stretching into 2027. The market is not pricing this. Brent futures are pricing political resolution at the May 14 Trump-Xi summit. Physical cargoes are pricing the customs enforcement architecture.
Both are pricing the war. Neither is pricing the aftermath.
The Strait reopening is not the end of the crisis. The Strait reopening is the moment the second phase begins. Output at Iranian fields and export flows from Iraqi and lower Gulf fields have been disrupted for sixty-six days. Refinery turnaround schedules across Asia are now misaligned. Insurance markets have repriced. Shadow fleet logistics have been substantially degraded by US Treasury sanctions. None of this rebuilds in days. The political clock measures the distance to summit. The architectural clock measures the distance to functional supply restoration. The two clocks are not the same clock. Even if Trump and Xi de-escalate on May 14, S&P says the energy crisis lasts another seven months at minimum. The peace itself has a seven-month tail.
Both are pricing the war. Neither is pricing the aftermath.
The Strait reopening is not the end of the crisis. The Strait reopening is the moment the second phase begins. Output at Iranian fields and export flows from Iraqi and lower Gulf fields have been disrupted for sixty-six days. Refinery turnaround schedules across Asia are now misaligned. Insurance markets have repriced. Shadow fleet logistics have been substantially degraded by US Treasury sanctions. None of this rebuilds in days. The political clock measures the distance to summit. The architectural clock measures the distance to functional supply restoration. The two clocks are not the same clock. Even if Trump and Xi de-escalate on May 14, S&P says the energy crisis lasts another seven months at minimum. The peace itself has a seven-month tail.
From all things you can find a silver lining if you look hard enough: 
An article that shook the Israeli center just moments ago
The article is from the Hebrew newspaper Haaretz ..
It predicts the end of Israel, the article's title "Netanyahu will leave, but the state will die with him"
Article summary- Netanyahu didn't just destroy the state, he destroyed everything.
Warms the heart
An article that shook the Israeli center just moments ago
The article is from the Hebrew newspaper Haaretz ..
It predicts the end of Israel, the article's title "Netanyahu will leave, but the state will die with him"
Article summary- Netanyahu didn't just destroy the state, he destroyed everything.
- Society is divided, the country is eroding, the army is weak, the judiciary is fearful, the media is superficial, and the Knesset is unbalanced.
- There is no solution to the Palestinian issue.
- The Zionist parties are the ruling ones.
- Netanyahu caused unprecedented global hatred for Israel.
- There is no longer sympathy for us.
- Our people have become hated by the world
Warms the heart
