Is the regime in Iran soon to be toast?

Presenter's pov :Spain and France denying passive aid goal is to get the USA to end war ASAP.
A commentor pointed out this could also be for domestic reasons

NATO as an defensive alliance, it's scope is limited to

The North Atlantic Treaty defines the area of responsibility for collective defense under Article 6, which includes territory in Europe, North America, Turkey, and islands in the North Atlantic north of the Tropic of Cancer.

Note, NATO assistance of the USA : Less than 24 hours after the September 11, 2001 attacks, NATO Allies unanimously invoked Article 5 of the Washington Treaty for the first and only time in history, declaring the attacks an armed attack against all members. All 18 allies at the time condemned the attacks and pledged to support the United States, with individual nations taking actions ranging from legislative approvals to direct military deployments.

including : Since 2001, troops from U.S. NATO allies have fought alongside American forces ( suspect the issues with the withdrawal left a few unhappy )



1775147393454.png

1775147571951.png



1775147654642.png



Europe's Surgical Weapon Against Trump's Iran War
William Spaniel

Apr 1, 2026
The Transatlantic rift continues, having evolved from a question of active support in the Iran War to now one of passive support. Spain and France are denying the United States access to bases and airspace for any ship or plane headed toward the Gulf region. Today, we explore the strategy these countries are trying to implement, and whether it will have the intended effect of ending the war more quickly.

0:00 The NATO Base Dispute
1:50 Entrapment in the Iran War
4:34 Spain and France Deny U.S. Access
9:09 Will Cutting Access End the War?
12:25 Takeaway Lines

The appearance of U.S. Department of Defense (DoD), EU, and NATO visual information does not imply or constitute an endorsement.





This video analyzes the growing transatlantic rift between the United States and several European allies—specifically Spain and France—over the ongoing conflict with Iran. The creator explains how this diplomatic dispute has evolved from a refusal to provide active military support into a direct challenge via the denial of passive support (airspace and base access).

Key themes include:

  • The Entrapment Problem (1:50-4:34): The video discusses how European nations are attempting to avoid "entrapment," a strategic situation where a smaller partner is dragged into a war by an initiator (the U.S.) that they would have otherwise preferred to avoid.
  • The Basing Dispute (4:34-9:09): Unlike previous disagreements, the current denial of U.S. use of bases and airspace is a calculated move to force a change in U.S. policy. While the North Atlantic Treaty only mandates mutual defense in the event of an attack in the North Atlantic area, the U.S. views these basing rights as a part of a grand strategic bargain, making the current refusal a significant point of tension (6:22-7:20).
  • Strategic Objectives and Logical Gaps (9:09-12:25): The creator questions the efficacy of Europe’s strategy. By denying support, European nations hope to force a quick end to the war to stabilize oil prices and mitigate the conflict's negative impact on Ukraine. However, the video argues that without a clearly defined link between cutting logistical support and the resolution of the underlying bargaining frictions that caused the war, this strategy may ultimately fail or even prolong the conflict (9:09-11:52).
  • Takeaway: The video concludes that the current strategy is poorly defined and likely to lead to a repetitive cycle of transatlantic strain, followed by temporary concessions, without addressing the core causes of the war (12:25-13:20).

1775147513775.png
1775147536456.png
 

Attachments

  • 1775147369464.png
    1775147369464.png
    241.6 KB · Views: 0
Probably need to change this thread's title to:

Is the regime in Israel / USA soon to be toast?​


at some point :eek:
 
  • Haha
Reactions: wrapter
  • Wow
Reactions: Arjun
what's up with the bunny ears ?!?!?
Perhaps the Easter Bunny? Or Bad Bunny? Who knows :lmao:
All I know is they can't attack us unless its through one of their "allies"
 
  • Haha
Reactions: mat200
Damn, Iran made another "Lego" Movie - What Episode are we at?
@mat200 any clue if this going to be available on Spotify anytime soon? :rofl:

 
It wouldn't matter as far as what their stance is because the damage has already been done and they will pay the price sooner or later ;)
The world changes; people change; people adapt; at least this war revealed the true character of all nations involved in this war.
 
  • Like
Reactions: wrapter
The US- Israel air strikes have killed around 3.5K civilians thus far in just over a month. In Ukraine war, the total number of civilians killed is 15K since 2022. Now that the air strikes in Iran is going after civilian infrastructure, I expect the numbers to increase sharply.

 
Valid point, the US is already paying a price
But don’t forget that Iran along with other countries in the vicinity are sponsors of hurting their own people



The US hurts their own people too - where does all the tax money go? Thousands of potholes yet to be fixed.