AI Good and Bad

I understand very little but it sounds like Nvidia is selling GPUs to clients to warehouse

Enron
Bernie Madoff



 
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Gotta pump it before the collapse





The co-founder of OpenAI who turned down Meta and built a company worth $30 billion in less than a year... is issuing a terrifying warning to college graduates!

Ilya Sutskever (AI genius and AlexNet engineer) stood on the University of Toronto stage to deliver one of the most important speeches of our era:
️ "The day will come when AI does everything we can do.. not some things, but all of them!"

 
Something bad is starting to happen...


This video examines the financial health and market perception of CoreWeave, a company that rents out Nvidia GPUs to AI firms. The company has raised over $35 billion, relying on a complex debt structure involving "boxes"—special purpose vehicles where contracts, hardware, and data centers are pooled to manage cash flow (2:25 - 3:06).

Key takeaways from the discussion:

  • The "Yikes" moment: When Elon Musk reacted to a chart showing CoreWeave bond yields hitting 15%, the company's stock experienced a significant drop (0:02 - 0:23).
  • Asset-backed debt vs. Unsecured bonds: While the company's box loans are secured by GPU contracts and hardware (3:36 - 4:03), the market's concern stems from the pricing of its unsecured bonds. When the price of these bonds drops, their yield increases, reflecting higher perceived risk (4:26 - 5:15).
  • The role of CDS (Credit Default Swaps): Chamath Palihapitiya notes that the "smart money" uses these derivatives as insurance against default. A spike in the cost of this insurance suggested to some traders a high probability of default, leading to a negative feedback loop of fear (6:13 - 7:07, 9:50 - 10:43).
  • Competitive and structural risks: Ben Horowitz compares the current GPU land-grab to the bandwidth bubble of 1999, warning that a sharp drop in market prices for computing could leave companies with heavy debt and outdated assets (12:45 - 13:28). Conversely, others argue that AI demand is fundamentally different because, unlike bandwidth in the 90s, there is a severe shortage of available chips (13:35 - 13:43).
Future watchpoints:

The panel suggests that whether CoreWeave succeeds depends on maintaining its "payback period" (the time it takes for a machine to cover its cost) and managing its exposure to variable interest rates as it continues to grow (17:30 - 18:06, 19:10 - 19:25).
 
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Something bad is starting to happen...


This video examines the financial health and market perception of CoreWeave, a company that rents out Nvidia GPUs to AI firms. The company has raised over $35 billion, relying on a complex debt structure involving "boxes"—special purpose vehicles where contracts, hardware, and data centers are pooled to manage cash flow (2:25 - 3:06).

Key takeaways from the discussion:

  • The "Yikes" moment: When Elon Musk reacted to a chart showing CoreWeave bond yields hitting 15%, the company's stock experienced a significant drop (0:02 - 0:23).
  • Asset-backed debt vs. Unsecured bonds: While the company's box loans are secured by GPU contracts and hardware (3:36 - 4:03), the market's concern stems from the pricing of its unsecured bonds. When the price of these bonds drops, their yield increases, reflecting higher perceived risk (4:26 - 5:15).
  • The role of CDS (Credit Default Swaps): Chamath Palihapitiya notes that the "smart money" uses these derivatives as insurance against default. A spike in the cost of this insurance suggested to some traders a high probability of default, leading to a negative feedback loop of fear (6:13 - 7:07, 9:50 - 10:43).
  • Competitive and structural risks: Ben Horowitz compares the current GPU land-grab to the bandwidth bubble of 1999, warning that a sharp drop in market prices for computing could leave companies with heavy debt and outdated assets (12:45 - 13:28). Conversely, others argue that AI demand is fundamentally different because, unlike bandwidth in the 90s, there is a severe shortage of available chips (13:35 - 13:43).
Future watchpoints:

The panel suggests that whether CoreWeave succeeds depends on maintaining its "payback period" (the time it takes for a machine to cover its cost) and managing its exposure to variable interest rates as it continues to grow (17:30 - 18:06, 19:10 - 19:25).




Something bad is starting to happen...


yes, reality