Is the regime in Iran soon to be toast?

EU countries that support the partial suspension of their trade agreement with Israel:

26 of 27.

If it goes through, Israel loses preferential access to its biggest trading partner, which accounts for 32% of its exports.

Source: European Commission


They say that but keep buying weapons/drones/interceptors.
 
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Iran Crumbles, Critics Scramble: Trump’s Long Game Leaves the Media Exposed | Victor Davis Hanson
The Daily Signal

Apr 14, 2026 Victor Davis Hanson: In a Few Words
We don't know what the ultimate prognosis of this war is, but if we take the long view, it's far more favorable to our interests than it is to our enemies.

The media’s 24-hour ragebait cycle can’t explain what’s actually unfolding in Iran. While critics swing wildly between calling Trump a “warmonger” and “weak,” the reality points to a regime that’s been militarily and strategically crippled.

Meanwhile, adversaries like Russia and China are feeling the ripple effects, and NATO’s cracks are on full display.

The long view tells a very different story—and it’s one the headlines won’t admit, argues Victor Davis Hanson on today’s edition of “Victor Davis Hanson: In a Few Words.”



In this commentary, Victor Davis Hanson argues that we should look beyond the 24-hour news cycle to understand the true impact of the conflict in Iran. He asserts that the current media narrative often ignores empirical realities, focusing instead on political short-termism (0:15 - 1:25).

Key Takeaways:

  • Military Devastation of Iran: The war has severely crippled Iran militarily, resulting in massive losses of assets—including missiles, drones, and naval capabilities—and leaving its command-and-control structure in disarray (3:02 - 4:18).
  • Winners and Losers: While Russia has seen its Middle Eastern influence vanish and its alignment with Iran fractured (4:24), the Gulf region is shifting away from reliance on the Strait of Hormuz, potentially rendering Iran's threats regarding the strait an "inert asset" (5:21 - 6:22).
  • Global Ripple Effects: China faces challenges regarding its oil supply, and the demonstration of Western drone technology suggests a potential deterrent to aggressive actions elsewhere, such as in Taiwan (6:22 - 7:33).
  • NATO and Europe: Hanson expresses significant disappointment in European NATO allies, noting their reluctance to assist in logistical efforts, suggesting a future where the United States may rely on bilateral alliances over broad, ineffective coalitions (7:33 - 9:16).
  • Long-Term Outlook: Despite short-term economic disruptions, the long-term prognosis is favorable for US interests. Hanson suggests that, like the fall of the Berlin Wall, the internal pressures on the Iranian regime could lead to significant change over time (9:16 - 11:04).
 
This is a far more complex issue than the bot farms make this, USA does have genuine issues with Iran

Iranian knows they do not defeat the US Military, you defeat the American's will power.




They Aren't Fighting Our Military - They're Fighting YOU!
Nick Freitas

Apr 14, 2026
They Aren't Fighting Our Military - They're Fighting YOU!



In this video, Nick Freitas discusses the complex political and military strategy involving the United States and Iran. He emphasizes that the conflict is not merely military but is heavily influenced by the domestic operational environment in the United States, including public opinion, the media, and political cycles.

Key takeaways:

  • The Iranian Strategy: Iran aims to outlast the U.S. politically by leveraging American domestic fatigue regarding foreign intervention, specifically ahead of midterm elections (0:00 - 0:45).
  • The Role of Public Opinion: Freitas highlights that the United States cannot be defeated militarily in the conventional sense, but its voting population can be influenced to stop supporting a conflict (1:54 - 2:10).
  • The Limits of Policy: He discusses why regime change in Iran is not currently feasible without massive U.S. ground forces—an outcome he and the current administration oppose—due to a lack of sufficient support within the Iranian population to replace the leadership (2:35 - 3:30).
  • Objectives and Realities: Freitas breaks down the four criteria set out for the conflict: degrading proxies, neutralizing naval/air offensive capabilities, and curbing ballistic missiles have seen success, while the goal of preventing a nuclear weapon remains a difficult, ongoing challenge (6:50 - 7:30).
  • The Need for Understanding: He concludes by arguing that for the U.S. to achieve a favorable resolution, Americans must better understand their own constitutional and political system. He stresses that frustration without an understanding of the operational environment and the legal limitations of leadership leads to unproductive complaining rather than effective political change (12:15 - 13:46).
 
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How some people willingly promote falsities regarding the blockade is beyond me. The following has been known to informed people for days.

1776219956278.png
 
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How some people willingly promote falsities regarding the blockade is beyond me.
Like this?
Capture.JPG

It says in the story "The vessel did not enter the blockaded area – which only prevents travel to and from Iranian ports......", so they're admitting they know they're pushing a misleading bait-click headline. The same thing from an X post appeared earlier today in this thread. Maybe that's what you're responding to?

China DEFIES Trump's blockade of Strait as sanctioned tanker sails through
 
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Chinese tanker entered or exited the Persian Gulf via the Strait? Did it load up on Iranian oil at one of their oil terminals then leave the Persian Gulf?

 
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USA power ... US Dollar and Oil

Pay attention, if the USA fails with this war and Oil gets sold in Yuan then the USA will fall due to deficit and US Dollar no longer being used for Oil.

THIS IS SUPER CRITICAL for the USA vs China

Seriously, USA is running a deficit and if no one buys the Treasury Bonds for the loans the USA needs to fund the deficit the USA could collapse as a world power

The Real War Nobody Is Talking ..
 
Pay attention, if the USA fails with this war and Oil gets sold in Yuan then the USA will fall due to deficit and US Dollar no longer being used for Oil.

Yea, well, that sucks.

It's almost as though someone wants to collapse the dollar in favor of crypto. Sounds like a bad plan, wouldn't there be worldwide chaos?

Seriously, USA is running a deficit and if no one buys the Treasury Bonds for the loans the USA needs to fund the deficit the USA could collapse as a world power

If that happens, I guess we'll wish we hadn't burnt bridges by pissing off so many of our allies.
 
The US "blockade" is bullshit for the terminally gullible.

Like most things with the Trump administration it's propaganda damage control.

And all 13 remaining MAGA cult members believe it




 
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See post #4315 above

CBS and Wall Street Journal is reporting that CENTCOM and Trump administration are lying about zero tankers passing the Strait of Hormuz.
They are reporting over 30 tankers have passed the Strait of Hormuz


 
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Saudi Arabia

……Listen to Saudi Arabia’s position today: “We can no longer stand with Trump; - Trump should first save himself, then save us."
Saudi Arabia's major announcement.”For the first time in over 80 years, the Saudis say NO to the U.S.. I call it Saudi Arabia’s Uturn of the century.


 
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