Is the regime in Iran soon to be toast?

I think this is pretty close IMHO
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Trump said things will be wrapped up in 2-3 weeks the same amount of time it will take the USS George Bush to get there.

Lets muse about this, and no this wasn't written by AI.

First off, wars NEVER end in negotiations. They ultimately only end only in victory, defeat or one side collapsing from within.



1) Markets were getting spooked. Trump’s market manipulation was becoming an MSM meme, so they needed any dovish messaging to look genuine. So they ran with some “aide” leaking something Trump had supposedly said in private about winding down the war to make it seem legit.

2) Pete Hegseth’s religious appeals and reading scripture were a dead giveaway that they have a long way to go, and his refusal to rule out boots on the ground while they ACTIVELY DEPLOY TROOPS AND ANOTHER AIRCRAFT CARRIER TO THE REGION, are a pretty dead giveaway. But f*ck lets continue...

3) Trump complaining about NATO countries lack of participation. He would not be doing this if the plan was to walk away from Hormuz. It only matters if you are staying.

4) Rubio’s threats to NATO countries are hollow threats, because there is a reason GERMANY IS OCCUPIED, i.e. WW2, and dont forget Nordstream. USA is there to keep the Germans terrified of the Russians.

5) Iran has denied that any negotiations are even occurring.

6) The objectives have not been achieved:

a) Main objective was to hurt China! Didnt happen

b) “regime” change

c) Steal the oil

d) Get nuclear material

7) Israel.

8) The Pentagon is deploying laser drone defense to Rubio and Hegseths residences, which are on military bases! You don't take such measures if you're planning on packing it in!

9) They just raised the enlistment age by 6 years DURING A WAR!

10) Walking away from Hormuz actually leaves oil prices elevated, they can't extricate themselves from this.

11) None of this takes into account Irans demands, which involve US demilitarization of gulf states, reparations, security guarantees etc.

They are going to escalate, and it is going to be very violent. If public support wanes, they will do a false flag, possibly in the form of a cyberattack. Before that happens Trump must appear magnanimous to show he was trying to deescalate but those pesky Iranians!

 
What a disgrace
Just about everything in the system is broken
Healthcare and education especially
When will people grow up?
 
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Reactions: johnfitz
So let me get this straight..

the United States and Israel launched the most devastating military campaign against Iran in history.. leveled everything.. declared victory..and the result is:

  • Iran's regime is more hardline than ever
  • Iran sells more oil at higher prices
  • Iran controls the Strait of Hormuz
  • Iran is moving toward nuclear weapons
  • the U.S. Navy left the Gulf
  • American bases are destroyed
  • NATO refused to help
  • Oil doubled
  • global inflation/recession is coming
  • world opinion supports Iran
  • Trump is losing the midterms
  • Netanyahu is in hiding (lol)

.......every single stated objective of this war has produced the EXACT opposite outcome..
 
What happened today was planned and obvious

Trump pulling a fake TACO to juice the markets
It worked. With some help from the markets themselves due to end of Q1 positioning
We'll be in Iran for many more weeks/months until domestic financial pressures becomes so great he can't manipulate it.
 
Looks like France is not the kind of ally that Israel was looking for. Probably not one we are looking for either.

 
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Reactions: mat200
So let me get this straight..

the United States and Israel launched the most devastating military campaign against Iran in history.. leveled everything.. declared victory..and the result is:

  • Iran's regime is more hardline than ever
  • Iran sells more oil at higher prices
  • Iran controls the Strait of Hormuz
  • Iran is moving toward nuclear weapons
  • the U.S. Navy left the Gulf
  • American bases are destroyed
  • NATO refused to help
  • Oil doubled
  • global inflation/recession is coming
  • world opinion supports Iran
  • Trump is losing the midterms
  • Netanyahu is in hiding (lol)

.......every single stated objective of this war has produced the EXACT opposite outcome..
Not Biden again, please no
You biddin’?
 
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Reactions: johnfitz and mat200
Heard Trump will have a big PR day tomorrow ..


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a very good solid discussion ..


Our Thoughts On The Iran War
Triggernometry
1.77M subscribers

 
Rubio covers the major issues from the Interviewer

 
March 3: "We won the war."
March 7: "We defeated Iran."
March 9: "We must attack Iran." "The war is almost completely and beautifully ending."
March 12: "We have won, but we have not yet achieved final victory."
March 13: "We have won the war."
March 14: "Please help us."
March 15: "If you don't help us, I will definitely remember this."
March 16: "Actually, we don't need any help at all." "I was just checking who was listening." "If NATO doesn't help, they will suffer greatly."
March 17: "We don't need and don't want NATO's help." "I don't need Congressional approval to leave NATO."
March 18: "Our allies must cooperate on reopening the Strait of Hormuz." March 19: "US allies need to pull themselves together—step up and help open the Strait of Hormuz."
March 20: "NATO is a coward."
March 21: "We're not using it; we don't need to open it."
March 22: "This is the last time. I'll give Iran 48 hours." "Iran is dead."
March 23: "We're giving them more time."
March 24: "The war is nearing its end."
March 25: "We're still negotiating."
March 26: "Iran is begging for peace. They gave us a gift. We'll give them more time."
March 27: "Negotiations with Iran are going very well."
March 28: "The war will be over soon."
March 29: "Maybe we'll take Kharg Island, maybe not."
March 30: "Open the Strait, otherwise we'll destroy all energy infrastructure and oil wells."
March 31: "We don't need the Strait; we already have plenty of oil. Produce it yourself, Britain."

This isn't a list, but a clear diagnosis.